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CANADA SNOW DAY FORECAST TOOL

Snow Day Predictor Canada: Will School Be Closed Tomorrow?

SnowDay Predictor Canada is a free snow day calculator for Canada that estimates your snow day chance from forecast snowfall, snow probability, minimum temperature and winter conditions. Enter a Canadian city or postal code to see the chances of a snow day tomorrow as a 0–100 score with a 3-day forecast. It is a weather estimate, not an official closure, so always confirm with your school board.

Last updated:

Snow Day Forecast for St. John's Church

The highest weather-based snow day score in the next 3 days is 0/100 (Very Low Chance) for Today — October 3, 2026, with about 0 cm of snow forecast, a 0% chance of snow and a minimum of 16.7°C. This is a weather estimate, not an official school or bus announcement.

No significant snow or freezing conditions are in the current forecast for this location.
This result is for St. John's Church, Jersey, which appears to be outside Canada. For a Canadian location, add the province (for example “London, Ontario”) or use a postal code.

Current Weather

Live Weather
📍 St. John's Church
Updated: Oct 3, 2026 – 11:00 PM
Overcast
16.7°C
Overcast
Feels like: 13.8°C
Precipitation19%
Wind18.4 km/h NE
Humidity76%
The forecast does not show substantial snow or freezing conditions.
Highest forecast score: Today — October 3, 2026.

3-Day Snow & Weather Forecast

Hourly Details
TodayOct 3
Overcast
17.3° / 16.7°
Overcast
❄ Snowfall 0 cm
🌧 Snow chance 0%
💨 Wind 25.2 km/h
✅ Very Low Chance · 0/100
TomorrowOct 4
Sunny
18.5° / 16.3°
Sunny
❄ Snowfall 0 cm
🌧 Snow chance 0%
💨 Wind 25.2 km/h
✅ Very Low Chance · 0/100
MonOct 5
Sunny
18.5° / 16.2°
Sunny
❄ Snowfall 0 cm
🌧 Snow chance 0%
💨 Wind 23 km/h
✅ Very Low Chance · 0/100

Snow Day Prediction Score

0% Very Low Chance weather-based estimate
No snowfall in the forecast
Temperatures above freezing
Lower snow probability
Snowfall — up to 40 points. 10 cm or more scores highest.

Snow chance — up to 30 points. 80% or higher scores highest.

Minimum temperature — up to 20 points. −5°C or colder scores highest.

Winter conditions — up to 10 points. Freezing rain, sleet, ice, blizzard or snow wording triggers the bonus.

Full explanation →

School Closure & Bus Cancellation Weather Risk

Weather risk only, not a board decision.
Minimal Weather RiskThe forecast does not indicate strong snow-day conditions.
Forecast Factor Peak Day: Today Impact
Snowfall 0 cm None
Chance of snow 0% None
Minimum temperature 16.7°C None
Peak wind (not in score) 25.2 km/h Low
Conditions Overcast None
Official sources: school board channels and Environment Canada warnings for St. John's Church.

Hourly Snow & Travel Conditions

Next 12 hours: temperature, snow chance, expected snowfall and wind.
TimeWeatherTemp Snow %Snow cmWindTravel Risk
12:00 AM Overcast 16.5° 0% 0 16.6 km/h Low
1:00 AM Overcast 16.4° 0% 0 16.2 km/h Low
2:00 AM Overcast 16.3° 0% 0 16.2 km/h Low
3:00 AM Overcast 16.3° 0% 0 15.8 km/h Low
4:00 AM Overcast 16.3° 0% 0 15.8 km/h Low
5:00 AM Overcast 16.4° 0% 0 16.2 km/h Low
6:00 AM Overcast 16.4° 0% 0 15.5 km/h Low
7:00 AM Clear 16.4° 0% 0 16.9 km/h Low
8:00 AM Sunny 16.4° 0% 0 17.3 km/h Low
9:00 AM Sunny 16.5° 0% 0 19.1 km/h Low
10:00 AM Sunny 16.6° 0% 0 19.8 km/h Low
11:00 AM Sunny 16.8° 0% 0 18.4 km/h Low
Morning commute window (6–9 AM): up to 0% chance of snow and about 0 cm expected. Travel risk is an hourly label, separate from the 100-point score.
SNOW DAY PERCENTAGE GUIDE

What Your Snow Day Percentage Means

Use these ranges to read the 0–100 score and the chances of a snow day. The same four labels appear in the gauge and in the 3-day forecast.

0 to 39% Very Low Chance The forecast shows limited support for a snow day, although local conditions can still change.
40 to 59% Low Chance Some winter-weather signals are present. Check the next forecast update.
60 to 79% Moderate Chance Several winter-weather signals are present. Prepare for possible delays or a cancellation.
80 to 100% High Chance The forecast shows a strong mix of snow, cold and winter-weather factors. Plan for a possible closure or bus cancellation.
QUICK GUIDE

How to Check Tomorrow’s Snow Day Forecast

  1. Step 1. Search Your Location. Enter a Canadian city, town or postal code, or tap Use My Location.
  2. Step 2. Review the Forecast. Check snowfall, snow chance, temperature and the hourly table.
  3. Step 3. Read the Score. A higher score means the forecast matches more snow-day factors.
  4. Step 4. Confirm Officially. Check your school board and bus provider for the final decision.
WHY CHOOSE US

Why Choose SnowDay Predictor Canada

A simple, transparent way to check winter weather before school or work.

Transparent 0–100 Score

See which factors add points, with the full method published on this page.

See the method →

Canada-Wide Search

Search any city, town or postal code, or use your device location.

Morning Commute View

The hourly table and 6–9 AM summary show when snow is expected around the bus run.

Local School Context

City cards list the boards and bus providers worth checking for each area.

Clear About Its Limits

It is a weather estimate, with direct links to official board and Environment Canada sources.

Free and Mobile Friendly

This snow day checker works on phone, tablet or desktop with no sign-up needed.

SCHOOL TRANSPORTATION GUIDE

Snow Day vs Bus Cancellation: What Is the Difference?

A school may close, open late, or stay open while some bus routes are cancelled. The table shows how they differ. Each board and transportation provider decides locally.

What ChangesBus CancellationSchool Closure
TransportationSchool buses may not operate on affected routes.Normal student transportation does not operate because the school is closed.
School OperationThe school may remain open.Classes or programs may be suspended or the site may close.
Who DecidesTransportation consortium or board, based on route and travel safety.The school board.
Where to LookBoard and bus-consortium websites.Board website and school channels.

Snow Day

A school closure caused by weather. The most common term across Canada.

Storm Day

A term commonly used in Atlantic Canada for a weather-related closure.

Inclement Weather Day

A general term some boards use for any weather-related closure or cancellation.

Fermeture d’école

French for school closure. Quebec boards also announce transport scolaire annulé (bus cancellation) and may refer to a tempête de neige (snowstorm).

REGIONAL WINTER WEATHER

Winter Weather That Cancels School Buses Across Canada

Freezing rain, snow squalls, blizzards and extreme cold affect each region differently. These are general patterns, not fixed closure rules.

RegionWinter hazards that commonly affect travelWhat to watch in the forecast
OntarioLake-effect snow, snow squalls, freezing rain, blowing snow on rural routesOvernight snowfall, ice, timing near the morning bus run
QuebecHeavy snowfall, ice and freezing rainSnow totals, freezing rain risk, road conditions
Prairies (AB, SK, MB)Extreme cold, wind chill, blowing snow and blizzardsWind chill, wind speed, visibility
Atlantic CanadaWinter storms, freezing rain and rapidly changing conditionsStorm timing, ice accumulation, wind
British ColumbiaWet snow and ice on hills and untreated roadsTemperature near freezing, elevation, overnight lows
Territories (YT, NT, NU)Extreme cold, strong wind and low visibilityWind chill and blowing snow
OFFICIAL WEATHER ALERTS

Environment Canada Winter Alerts and School Travel

Environment and Climate Change Canada issues the official alerts below. They are not part of the score, so check them separately when severe weather is possible. Alert criteria vary by region.

Alert typeWhat it signalsWhy it matters for school buses
Snowfall warningHeavy snow expectedSlower routes, late buses, blocked side streets
Freezing rain warningRain that freezes on contactIcy roads and sidewalks; often a major trigger for bus cancellations
Winter storm warningSnow combined with wind, ice or bothLonger disruptions, possible closures
Blowing snow advisoryReduced visibility from wind-driven snowRural routes can be affected first
Blizzard warningStrong wind, snow and very low visibilityClosures more likely, especially on the Prairies
Extreme cold warningDangerously low temperature or wind chillBuses may not start; waiting outside is risky
HOW SNOW DAY PREDICTOR WORKS

How Our Snow Day Predictor Works

Each forecast day gets a 0–100 score built from four weather factors. This is the only full explanation of the scoring on the site. The score shows how strongly the forecast supports a snow day; it does not model what a board will decide.

Snowfall Forecast

Up to 40 points

The largest factor. More expected accumulation scores higher, with the maximum at 10 cm or more, because heavy snow affects roads and sidewalks.

Chance of Snow

Up to 30 points

A higher snow probability gives the forecast stronger support for snow that day. The maximum applies at 80% or higher.

Minimum Temperature

Up to 20 points

Colder overnight lows raise the potential for icy or difficult travel. The maximum applies at −5°C or colder.

Winter Conditions

Up to 10 points

A bonus when the forecast wording includes snow, heavy snow, freezing rain, sleet, ice or blizzard.

Why Wind and Wind Chill Are Not Scored

The score is built on snow and temperature signals so it stays simple and explainable. Wind and wind chill are shown in the tables for planning, but extreme cold can still disrupt travel without any snow, so check Environment Canada for extreme cold warnings.

Hourly Travel Risk Is Separate

The hourly table and the 6–9 AM commute summary are planning aids. They use hourly snow, wind and ice wording and are not part of the 100-point score.

SCHOOL BOARD DECISION PROCESS

How Canadian School Boards Decide Snow Days

Boards and their transportation consortia weigh road conditions, forecasts and local timing. Many bus cancellations are announced by the consortium that runs the buses, not by the board itself.

Weather & Road Conditions

Boards look at current and forecast snowfall, freezing rain, ice and extreme cold together with road and travel conditions.

Local Conditions & Timing

Conditions differ between communities and can change during a storm. Boards often review updated forecasts and road reports early in the morning.

Where Decisions Are Posted

Boards post on their websites and social channels. Bus consortia, such as the Toronto Student Transportation Group or the Ottawa Student Transportation Authority, post route cancellations. In Quebec, each centre de services scolaire posts its own notices.

WHO IT HELPS

Snow Day Predictor for Canadian Students, Parents, and Teachers

For Parents

Check the score the evening before and again in the morning. If it is high, line up childcare or a backup plan early.

For Students

A high score means a higher snow day possibility, not that school is cancelled. Wait for the announcement before assuming a day off.

For Teachers & Staff

Use the hourly table to plan your commute and watch your board’s staff channels for updates.

CANADIAN SCHOOL BOARD GUIDE

Popular Canadian School Boards

Official sites for large boards, with their common abbreviations. In Quebec, boards are called centres de services scolaires.

BE PREPARED, STAY AHEAD

Plan Your Day, Understand the Forecast

Check Another Location →
Snow day weather score
Weather
Score
Location based weather
Location
Forecast
Three day forecast
3-Day
Forecast
Canada weather coverage
Canada
Coverage
PREDICTION TRANSPARENCY

Accuracy & Important Disclaimer

We do not publish a single accuracy percentage because forecast reliability varies by location, lead time and storm type. The score is a weather-based estimate, not a school, bus or workplace closure notice. Always confirm with your school board, bus provider and Environment Canada.

Why Accuracy Varies

Forecasts change as new observations arrive. Road conditions, bus routes, school facilities and board policies also differ between communities.

Where Forecasts Struggle

Freezing rain timing, lake-effect snow squalls and temperatures hovering near 0°C are hard to forecast and can change the outcome quickly.

How to Use the Result

Treat the score as a planning signal. Check it the evening before and again early the next morning.

WEATHER DATA & LOCATION SOURCES

Weather Data Sources

Forecasts and location lookups come from the providers below. Forecast responses are cached for up to 15 minutes, and the update time appears in the Current Weather card. Postal codes and Use My Location are converted to coordinates with OpenStreetMap Nominatim.

Environment and Climate Change Canada

Official Canadian weather information, forecasts and warnings. Not used in the score, but the place to confirm alerts.

Environment Canada Weather →

WeatherAPI

Supplies current conditions, snowfall, snow probability, temperature and hourly forecast data used by the score.

OpenStreetMap Nominatim

Converts postal codes and your device location into coordinates for the weather request.

Who Runs SnowDay Predictor Canada

SnowDay Predictor Canada is an independent weather-planning tool. It is not affiliated with any school board, bus provider or Environment and Climate Change Canada. Read more about the team or contact us with corrections.

SNOW DAY PREDICTOR FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a snow day predictor?

A snow day predictor estimates how likely winter weather is to disrupt school. This one scores the forecast for your location from 0 to 100 using snowfall, snow chance, minimum temperature and winter conditions.

Will there be a snow day tomorrow?

Enter your city or postal code to see the chances of a snow day tomorrow. Check it the evening before and again early in the morning, because forecasts change. Only your school board or bus provider can announce an actual closure.

How is the snow day score calculated?

The score adds four forecast factors, from 0 to 100. Snowfall, snow chance, minimum temperature and winter conditions each have a maximum number of points. See the full breakdown in How Our Snow Day Predictor Works.

Is this an official closure or school bus cancellation predictor?

No. It is a weather-based school cancellation predictor, not an official announcement. A high score does not guarantee a closure, a bus cancellation or a workplace closure, and a low score does not rule one out. Boards also weigh road conditions, routes and local factors.

What is the difference between a snow day and a bus cancellation?

A snow day means the school is closed; a bus cancellation means buses do not run but the school may stay open. Policies differ by board and transportation provider. See the comparison table above.

What is a storm day?

“Storm day” is a term commonly used in Atlantic Canada for a weather-related school closure. Other regions say snow day, inclement weather day or bus cancellation. In Quebec you may see fermeture d’école or transport scolaire annulé.

Does freezing rain cancel school buses?

Yes, freezing rain is one of the most common triggers for bus cancellations, even with little snow. Ice makes roads and sidewalks hazardous. Check for an Environment Canada freezing rain warning and your bus provider’s notices. The score only partly reflects ice, through its winter-conditions factor.

Do school boards announce closures by 6 AM?

Many boards aim to decide early in the morning, before buses run, but timing varies. Some decide the evening before for major storms. Bus cancellations may be posted by the transportation consortium rather than the board, so check both.

How many snow days does Toronto get?

There is no fixed number; it varies a lot from winter to winter. Full school closures are rare in many winters, while bus cancellations and delays are more common. Check the Toronto District School Board and its transportation consortium for current-year notices.

Does wind chill affect the snow day score?

No. Wind chill is shown for planning but is not part of the score. The score uses minimum temperature. Extreme cold and wind can still disrupt travel, especially on the Prairies and in the territories, so check Environment Canada for extreme cold warnings.

Can I search by postal code or use my location?

Yes. Enter a Canadian postal code or tap Use My Location. Details on how locations are looked up are in the data sources section.

Why does the score show 0% in summer?

Because there is no snow or cold in the forecast. Outside the usual winter season most Canadian locations score near zero.